Analysts estimate bitcoin’s growth prospects to reach $ 150,000

At the beginning of 2026, bitcoin traders are showing restraint in placing large bets on the exchange rate, despite positive analysts' forecasts. According to prediction exchanges, the probability of the price of the market’s flagship BTC $88,839.81 Mezo Wrapped BTC 2.24% Market capitalization $50.29 million VOL. 24 hours $0.79 billion rising to $ 150,000 by the end of the year is estimated at only 21%. The main scenario that most of the market adheres to is a rise to $ 100,000, but there is no significant optimism about higher levels at the moment.

One of the reasons for caution was the end of 2025 with a decline in the price of bitcoin, which broke the usual cyclical growth model after previous halving. This forced some market participants to reconsider their strategies and take more account of macroeconomic and political factors, not just historical trends.

The futures market has seen an increase in the volume of options, indicating a shift to more complex forms of hedging. This trend reduces the impact of spot buying on the overall price movement and restrains traders' willingness to place active bets, even under optimistic forecasts.

Additional uncertainty is created by the expectation of the appointment of a new chairman of the US Federal Reserve, which may affect the pace of interest rate cuts. In addition, the U.S. Congress is scheduled to consider two bills to regulate the cryptocurrency market during the year, which could significantly change the behavior of institutional investors.

Despite the caution at the beginning of the year, some analysts believe that 2026 is a promising year for bitcoin, provided that a combination of favorable monetary policy, legal certainty, and capital inflows from major players are in place. At the same time, most traders are taking a wait-and-see attitude, watching for further signals from the market.