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Donald Trump may accidentally stimulate bitcoin’s growth
US President Donald Trump has announced his intention to introduce a «tariff dividend» — a one-time payment of at least $ 2000 for most Americans. According to him, the funds will come from the revenues from import duties that were introduced as part of the new trade policy. In a post on the Truth Social platform, Trump clarified that the payments would not apply to high-income citizens.
Trump said that the US is «getting trillions of dollars» from the tariffs and can start paying off the national debt, which currently stands at about $ 37 trillion. He also criticized opponents of the customs policy, calling them «fools,» and emphasized that the country’s economy is «in the best shape ever, with minimal inflation and record stock market performance.»
The implementation of the initiative depends on the decision of the US Supreme Court, which is considering the legality of the imposed tariffs. According to the Kalshi forecast market, the probability of approval of the policy is about 23%, and on the Polymarket platform — about 25%. Trump questioned the legal logic of the restrictions, saying: «The President of the United States can stop all trade with another country, but he doesn’t have the right to impose a simple tariff — even for national security reasons?»
Analysts view the statement as a potential economic stimulus that could affect the growth of risky assets, including bitcoin. According to The Kobeissi Letter, if the initiative is implemented, up to 85% of the US adult population will receive payments — similar to the checks issued during the COVID-19 pandemic.
At the same time, experts warn of inflationary risks. Bitcoin analyst Simon Dixon noted that without investment, the $ 2000 received will quickly lose value. Crypto investor Anthony Pompliano added that «stocks and bitcoin always react in the same way — by rising in response to stimulus.» In his opinion, the «tariff dividend» could be a short-term boost for the markets, but at the same time a factor of pressure on the dollar.