Onchain College: bitcoin will rise to $ 200,000

The price of bitcoin BTC $96,067.71 Bitcoin -1.08% Market capitalization $1.91 trillion VOL. 24 hours $1.41 billion continues to consolidate around the $ 95,000 mark, which Swissblock analysts consider to be the breakeven point for many retail investors. In this context, expectations are growing for a potential breakout when the wave of profit-taking among retail traders subsides.

An analyst at Onchain College predicts that the current growth could continue to over $ 200,000 per BTC. He uses the Bitcoin Delta Cap metric, an analytical tool based on historical, on-chain, and technical data. This approach has already demonstrated accuracy in previous market cycles, and if the trend repeats, the next peak could be around $ 210,000.

Other valuation models, such as Bitcoin Quantile, also predict a possible reach of over $ 200,000 in 2025. At the same time, the more restrained Pi Cycle Top indicator indicates a possible upper limit in the range of $ 150,000-$ 180,000, especially if the growth ends closer to the end of the year.

In addition, the BTC True MVRV indicator, which shows the ratio between the market and real value of an asset, also hints at potential growth. Currently, its value is 1.6, which means that it has not yet reached the levels that traditionally indicate a market peak (a value of 3 or higher). The last time such dynamics were observed was in September 2024, after which bitcoin showed growth.

However, analysts warn that institutional activity and market changes could disrupt the usual four-year cycle pattern. Therefore, all forecasts should be interpreted with caution, as even the most accurate historical models may not take into account new factors of influence.