Solana will rise to $ 1000 if it reaches $ 80 billion in market capitalization

The Solana virtual coin SOL $141.12 Binance-Peg SOL -3.60% Market capitalization $0.16 billion VOL. 24 hours $1.02 billion has reached a critical point after rapid growth in early 2025, with analysts warning of a possible deep correction or a new rally phase. Despite the steady inflow of funds into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and leadership in the DeFi ecosystem, investors are concerned about the selling pressure due to the unlocking of tokens owned by FTX and Alameda. The market is currently balancing technical risk with growing institutional demand.

According to EmberCN, FTX and Alameda recently unlocked 193,800 SOL, distributing them among 28 wallets. This has created a short-term risk of oversupply. At the same time, ETFs on Solana are showing the opposite trend: net inflows have been recorded for 11 trading days in a row, and total assets under management have reached $ 351 million. Last week, Solana even surpassed Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of capital raised.

At the ecosystem level, Solana leads all blockchains in terms of DEX trading volume and app revenue. The trust of traditional investors has been strengthened by SoFi’s decision to allow customers in the US to buy BTC, ETH, and SOL directly from their accounts. Thus, Solana is caught between two opposing forces — pressure from FTX/Alameda's creditors and support from ETFs and banking services.

Analysts believe that the market capitalization level of $ 80 billion is key for the company’s future. If Solana holds this threshold, its price could rise to $ 1000 within 3−6 months. If it loses support, the price could drop to around $ 100, which corresponds to a market capitalization of $ 50 billion. Currently, SOL is trading at around $ 152, down 1.1% over the past day.

Solana remains one of the most active digital assets of the year. Further development will depend on the market’s ability to absorb the volume of tokens sold by lenders. If it succeeds, Solana has a chance for a new stage of growth — otherwise, it will face a deeper correction.