Willie Wu predicts bitcoin will fall to $ 45,500

Online analyst Willie Wu said that historical models indicate that bitcoin may form a bottom in the range of $ 46,000-$ 54,000. In his opinion, these indicators also give an idea of the duration of the current market phase.

Wu drew attention to an indicator that demonstrates a correlation with the amount of capital saved in the first cryptocurrency. According to him, this indicator has been declining since November and currently estimates the value of BTC at around $ 54,200. He also singled out the CVDD Floor model, which signals a level of about $ 45,500.

The analyst emphasized that such models are based solely on historical data and reflect the behavior of the asset within previous cycles of growth of risky assets. At the same time, he warned of the high probability of a deeper bear market due to the destruction of the global bullish trend in the macroeconomy.

The discussion around Wu’s forecasts provoked a reaction among users. One commentator noted that the BTC/USD chart shows only part of the picture, while the key information is to understand capital rotation and the macro structure of the market.

Earlier, Willie Wu had already warned of a «bull trap» when bitcoin rose to $ 80,000 and expressed pessimism about the prospects for the crypto market in 2026.