Willie Wu predicts local bottom of bitcoin at $ 45,000

Cryptocurrency analyst Willie Wu predicts that bitcoin BTC $65,208.46 Mezo Wrapped BTC -2.97% Market capitalization $35.81 million VOL. 24 hours $1.58 billion may fall to $ 45,000 before the market forms a final bottom. He attributes this to structural changes in global liquidity and cooling institutional demand.

According to Wu, several of his own models converge on the $ 45,000 mark as an accumulation zone. This level corresponds to the Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed indicator, which has historically recorded the cyclical lows of every major bear market in bitcoin.

The forecast means a drop of about 25% from the current price. At the beginning of 2026, bitcoin faced serious challenges — a stronger US dollar and capital flows into artificial intelligence-related stocks. Wu also notes that the paper bitcoin market, including futures and ETFs, has outpaced real on-chain transactions.

Despite the pessimistic short-term outlook, Wu considers the drop to $ 45,000 a «generational buying opportunity.» In his opinion, it is at this level that most speculators will be pushed out of the market, which will create conditions for more sustainable growth in 2027.

Other experts remain divided, with some technical analysts agreeing that a retest of the 2024 levels is necessary, while others point to upcoming network upgrades and increased institutional interest that could keep bitcoin from falling further. It is currently trading at $ 67,350, down 1.25% over the past day.