Cryptocurrency market analysts predict bitcoin’s fall to $ 80,000

Options market analysts say that there is about a 30% risk that the price of Bitcoin BTC $90,836.89 Mezo Wrapped BTC -2.08% Market capitalization $53.1 million VOL. 24 hours $1.17 billion will fall below $ 80,000 by the end of June 2026. Such estimates are based on the structure of open positions, implicit volatility, and risk profiles that reflect the expectations of large trading participants.

The probability is formed by analyzing option contracts with different strikes and expiry dates. If the premiums at certain price levels are high, this indicates that some traders are hedging their bets against a fall below these levels.

According to experts, the key factors that influence risk assessment are the overall volatility of the crypto market, the current dynamics of BTC, macroeconomic events, and the balance of supply and demand. Expectations of a sell-off or a decline in interest in risky assets may shift market sentiment toward lower-priced scenarios.

It is worth emphasizing that 30% is not a forecast, but only an estimate of relative probability based on current data. Cryptocurrency markets have traditionally shown high volatility, and such estimates can change quickly under the influence of news or changes in investor sentiment.

Such implicit risk indicators are an important tool for traders and risk managers: they help plan hedging strategies, manage positions, and determine exposure levels. At the same time, they signal that market participants are closely monitoring the possibility of significant fluctuations in the Bitcoin price in the coming months.

Overall, although the risk of BTC falling below $ 80,000 by June is assessed as significant, it is not guaranteed. Further dynamics will depend on a combination of market, economic, and psychological factors that will continue to determine the behavior of the cryptocurrency market.